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The arithmetic here is brutal and worth understanding clearly. A buyer who financed a $400,000 home at three percent in 2021 pays roughly $1,686 per month on principal and interest. That same loan at a seven percent rate costs $2,661. The difference between those two payments explains why so many potential sellers are sitting tight. Volume collapsed. Prices mostly did not.
Affordability, by the standard measure of what share of median household income goes toward the monthly payment on a median-priced home, is near its worst level since the early 1980s. That is a real problem, and it is not going away quickly. A market can stay unaffordable for longer than most buyers expect to wait. What it means, practically, is that the pool of qualified buyers is smaller than it was three years ago.
Before you look at a single listing, get your mortgage pre-approval completed and in hand. Not a rough estimate. Not a verbal confirmation from a loan officer you met once. A full pre-approval based on verified income, tax returns, bank statements, and a hard credit pull. Without that letter, you are not a buyer, you are a browser.


For buyers with a real reason to be in a specific place for the foreseeable future, this market is full of opportunity that distracted or impatient buyers miss. The homes that meet real criteria at a realistic price are still moving. They are moving to buyers who showed up prepared.
The buyers who come out ahead in this market are not the ones who waited for perfect conditions. They are the ones who treated the purchase like a business decision rather than an emotional one. Getting across current property listings in your target area is the logical first move once your financing is sorted.
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